The battleground states: Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Michigan and West Virginia (tossup); Maine, Minnesota and Washington (Kerry leaning, a combined 25 electoral votes); North Carolina, Colorado, Louisiana, Arizona, Virginia, Arkansas and Missouri (Bush leaning, a combined 73 electoral votes). Because of population changes, if Bush just wins the states he did in 2000, he will have 278 (instead of 271 in 2000), 8 more than the 270 needed. If Kerry wins the states Gore did in 2000, he is 10 short of 270.